Hey everyone, I am a former Wall Street trader and quant researcher. When I was preparing for my own interviews, I have noticed the lack of accurate information and so I will be providing my own perspectives. One common pattern I see is people building their own algorithm by blindly fitting statistical methods such as moving averages onto data. I have published this elsewhere, but have copy pasted it entirely below for you to read to keep it in the spirit of the sub rules. Edit: Removed link.
What it was like trading on Wall Street
Right out of college, I began my trading career at an electronic hedge fund on Wall Street. Several friends pitched trading to me as being a more disciplined version of wallstreetbets that actually made money. After flopping several initial interviews, I was fortunate to land a job at a top-tier firm of the likes of Jane Street, SIG, Optiver and IMC. On my first day, I was instantly hooked. My primary role there was to be a market maker. To explain this, imagine that you are a merchant. Suppose you wanted to purchase a commodity such as an apple. You would need to locate an apple seller and agree on a fair price. Market makers are the middle-men that cuts out this interaction by being always willing to buy or sell at a given price. In finance lingo, this is called providing liquidity to financial exchanges. At any given moment, you should be confident to liquidate your position for cash. To give a sense of scale, tens of trillions in dollars are processed through these firms every year. My time trading has been one of the most transformative periods of my life. It not only taught me a lot of technical knowledge, but it also moulded me to be a self-starter, independent thinker, and hard worker. I strongly recommend anyone that loves problem solving to give trading a shot. You do not need a mathematics or finance background to get in. The trading culture is analogous to professional sports. It is a zero sum game where there is a clear defined winner and loser — you either make or lose money. This means that both your compensation and job security is highly dependent on your performance. For those that are curious, the rough distribution of a trader’s compensation based on performance is a tenth of the annual NBA salary. There is a mystique about trading in popular media due to the abstraction of complicated quantitative models. I will shed light on some of the fundamental principles rooted in all trading strategies, and how they might apply to you.
One way traders make money is through an arbitrage or a risk free trade. Suppose you could buy an apple from Sam for $1, and then sell an apple to Megan at $3. A rational person would orchestrate both legs of these trades to gain $2 risk free. Arbitrages are not only found in financial markets. The popular e-commerce strategy of drop-shipping is a form of arbitrage. Suppose you find a tripod selling on AliExpress at $10. You could list the same tripod on Amazon for $20. If someone buys from you, then you could simply purchase the tripod off AliExpress and take home a neat $10 profit. The same could be applied to garage sales. If you find a baseball card for $2 that has a last sold price on EBay for $100, you have the potential to make $98. Of course this is not a perfect arbitrage as you face the risk of finding a buyer, but the upside makes this worthwhile.
Positive expected value bets
Another way traders make money is similar to the way a casino stacks the odds in their favour. Imagine you flip a fair coin. If it lands on heads you win $3, and if it lands on tails you lose $1. If you flip the coin only once, you may be unlucky and lose the dollar. However in the long run, you are expected to make a positive profit of $1 per coin flip. This is referred to as a positive expected value bet. Over the span of millions of transactions, you are almost guaranteed to make a profit. This exact principle is why you should never gamble in casino games such as roulette. These games are all negative expected value bets, which guarantees you to lose money over the long run. Of course there are exceptions to this, such as poker or card counting in black jack. The next time you walk into a casino, make a mental note to observe the ways it is designed to keep you there for as long as possible. Note the lack of windows and the maze like configurations. Even the free drinks and the cheap accommodation are all a farce to keep you there.
Relative pricing is a great strategy to use when there are two products that have clear causal relationships. Let us consider an apple and a carton of apple juice. Suppose there have a causal relationship where the carton is always $9 more expensive than the apple. The apple and the carton is currently trading at $1 and $10 respectively. If the price of the apple goes up to $2, the price is not immediately reflected on the carton. There will always be a time lag. It is also important to note that there is no way we can determine if the apple is trading at fair value or if its overpriced. So how do we take advantage of this situation? If we buy the carton for $10 and sell the apple for $2, we have essentially bought the ‘spread’ for $8. The spread is fairly valued at $9 due to the causal relationship, meaning we have made $1. The reason high frequency trading firms focus so much on latency in the nanoseconds is to be the first to scoop up these relative mispricing. This is the backbone for delta one strategies. Common pairs that are traded against each other includes ETFs and their inverse counterpart, a particular stock against an ETF that contains the stock, or synthetic option structures.
Correlations are mutual connections between two things. When they trend in the same direction they are said to have a positive correlation, and the vice versa is true for negative correlations. A popular example of positive correlation is the number of shark attacks with the number of ice-cream sales. It is important to note that shark attacks do not cause ice-cream sales. Often times there are no intuitive reason for certain correlations, but they still work. The legendary Renaissance Technologies sifted through petabytes of historical data to find profitable signals. For instance, good morning weather in a city tended to predict an upward movement in its stock exchange. One could theoretically buy stock on the opening and sell at noon to make a profit. One important piece of advice is to disregard any retail trader selling a course to you, claiming that they have a system. These are all scams. At best, these are bottom of the mill signals that are hardly profitable after transaction costs. It is also unlikely that you have the system latency, trading experience or research capabilities to do this on your own. It is possible, but very difficult.
Another common strategy traders rely on is mean reversion trends. In the options world the primary focus is purchasing volatility when it is cheap compared to historical values, and vice versa. Buying options is essentially synonymous with buying volatility. Of course, it is not as simple as this so don’t go punting your savings on Robinhood using this strategy. For most people, the most applicable mean reversion trend is interest rates. These tend to fluctuate up and down depending on if the central banks want to stimulate saving or spending. As global interest rates are next to zero or negative, it may be a good idea to lock in this low rate for your mortgages. Again, consult with a financial advisor before you do anything.
How the hell is one supposed to choose a career? Related: Please help me choose a career.
Hello, SSC. I am using a throwaway. This is a beast of a post. A few thoughts related to its size:
Please don't read the whole thing; it's skimmable.
TL;DR – lawyer, doctor, psych researcher, or (jokingly, unless…) novelist?
To make a long story short, I'm an unhappy software engineer (unhappy with my career, not with life in general), and I committed about a year ago to making a change. Since that time, I've vacillated wildly in my thinking on the various career options available (never able to fully commit), and at this point it's causing me a ton of anxiety: I've gotta choose something, but there just doesn't seem to be a clear answer. My family and partner are running out of patience, and I feel the same way: It's time to get a move on, already. "Getting a move on" is super fucking hard, though (not to mention terrifying, given the stakes). How are you supposed to compare, on the one hand, cognitive fit (i.e. being good at your job) with, on the other hand, likelihood of being able to pursue your own lines of inquiry or expression (i.e. not feeling like a cog)? Where does money fit into all of this? The sheer number of different paradigms for career choice seems to be evidence that nobody else really has a clear idea either: "Do what you love." "Do what you like the most out of medicine, law, finance, and engineering." "Work sucks: Make money and retire." "Working for someone else sucks: Start a business or be your own boss." Then there are the more complicated ones, like Ikagi, or the Waitbutwhy octopus, or 80,000 Hours' five-star system. Every different paradigm comes up with a different answer, and the same paradigm often comes up with different answers depending on things that seem like they should not be able to shift paradigms, like what mood I happen to be in at the moment. I do have some concrete things to work with, namely that I think I've been able to pinpoint why I don't like software engineering. Three main reasons: 1 - Lack of Cognitive Fit: On pretty much every sort of standardized test thrown at me, there will invariably be a huge imbalance between subscores (verbal = higher, math = lower), with further cleavage between the mathematics subscores (numeric = higher, spatial = lower). This comports with my general "feeling" about these things: Reading and writing are easy and enjoyable; statistics is doable and tolerable; spatial math is difficult and unpleasant. This has manifested itself in difficulties with software engineering, which is, after all, concerned with how best to build complicated, invisible structures. My in-the-major grades in school were mediocre at best (they were high outside of my major); my work performance is middling. The overall feeling of working in software engineering is that of wading through cerebral molasses, and at no time is this feeling more acute than when I'm working with other computer people: They just get it, and I just don't get it. With all due respect to grit, conscientiousness, growth mindset, etc., I often feel like I am simply running up against the limits of my mental machinery. All fine if it's worth the fight, but... 2 - Lack of Subject-Matter Interest CS as an academic discipline is interesting enough, but it's never "grabbed me" in the way that some other academic disciplines have. I've never found my mind wandering towards topics in CS in the same way that it often wanders towards topics in, e.g., biology, psychology, economics, literature. I would never read a book on software engineering or computer science for fun. Why the hell did you major in it, then, you stupid, dumb idiot? I wish I had a better answer, but it was some combination of peer pressure (the cool, ambitious kids were ALL majoring in CS in 2011 (that may still be the case now, IDK)) and a desire to be employable. 3 - Lack of Workplace Autonomy A product manager tells you to build the thing, so you build the thing. You (sometimes) get to choose how you build the thing, but if you don't have any underlying interest in how the thing is built, the whole experience just feels like drudgery. _________ With all that in mind, I was able to build a pretty complicated paradigm that would take an entire post by itself to explain but basically boiled down to the following: Emphasize cognitive fit, subject-matter interest, workplace autonomy, and ability to do good, while trying as best you can to hold onto some of the positive features of software engineering (tons of stability, quite good pay, not-terrible working hours). That got me down to four main possibilities. For the sake of simplifying the discussion, let's say that remaining a software engineer isn't an option. Here they are: Law (JD): On the one hand: - Super high points for cognitive fit. Rules governing human behavior mediated entirely through the English language? Lots of reading and writing? Beautiful; give me more. - The potential (if done in a certain way) to feel like you’re “fighting for the good guys.” - For better or worse, I “vibe” with lawyers. Even the greedy ones tend to be "words people," because “money-driven” + “good with words, sucks at math” tends to equal “lawyer." I've never met, for example, another group of people who like crossword puzzles as much as I do. On the other hand: - Nearly every lawyer I’ve talked to says it’s straight-up difficult to get a job where you fight for the good guys and much easier to get a job where you’re fighting for the “neutral-at-best” guys. - At the end of the day, I’m more interested in the law and less interested in being a practicing lawyer, mostly because of the same autonomy problem in software engineering: A higher-up tells you to do the thing, so you do the thing. In an ideal world, you solve the autonomy problem by, say, working at a think tank or in academia. But I’ve gotten that beaten out of my head by the chorus of voices saying, “Don’t go to law school if you don’t want to practice.” - Long hours and a culture of overwork lead to high stress. Varies between firms (and between firms and government), but a work-hard-play-hard culture seem to pervade the profession, and, to put it bluntly, most of the lawyers I know seem pretty fucking stressed. - When I tell lawyers that I’m considering law school, many of them say, “Don’t do it.” People in other fields don’t say that when I tell them I’m considering their field. Medicine (MD) or Research Medicine (MD/PhD): On the one hand: - High level of interest in the subject material. I self-studied AP Bio back in the day by reading the textbook cover-to-cover. When I’m reading nonfiction for fun, there’s a pretty good chance it’s bio or medicine-related. To this day, I don’t really know why I didn’t study it in college. Network effects, probably. - I could see myself being interested in practicing psychiatry, endocrinology, sleep medicine—any field where the emphasis is more “This strange concoction of chemicals makes you feel a certain way!” than it is “The machine that synthesizes urine broke down again.” - I put “MD/PhD” because I find the idea of being a physician-scientist more appealing than one or the other. Being able to treat actual real people and then retreating to the lab to do solitary mind work really does sound like the best of both worlds. Either way, though, the process would start with a postbacc, so I guess technically I don’t have to decide yet. - I did a thing where I downloaded the SSC dataset and looked at all the different careers, and doctors had the highest levels of life satisfaction out of anyone (for whom I could find a coherent career field in the spreadsheet). This held even when they were in school and residency (i.e. couldn’t be entirely explained by income (although it could, I suppose, be explained by “income or the expectation of future income”)). Two main ways I can think of to explain this: 1. Being a doctor is (relatively) fulfilling and makes people happy. 2. Becoming a doctor is so difficult that only (relatively) happy and well-balanced people are able to complete the process. This might sound naïve, but my honest bet is number one. In what other profession do you get paid SO MUCH MONEY to work so intimately with other people? So many high-enjoyability, low-pay professions (teaching, social work, etc.) are basically about taking a pay cuts so that you can work closely with other people. And in medicine you don’t have to take the pay cut. On the other hand: - Maybe there are doctors reading this and thinking, “You naïve little twerp; do you know how hard you have to work and how good you have to be to do what you’re talking about doing? Genetic research? Neuroscience? Start honing your colonoscopy skills, bucko, because you’re going to have to pay off your loans just like the rest of us.” - On a related note, I know a lot of lawyers but no doctors, so I have heavy doses of “realism” from the law side, but not the medicine side. - Med school, from what I understand, is the most demanding of the professional schools. I honestly can’t say for sure that I’d be able to get through it. - While I like reading popular books about medicine, I don't really get off on academic papers about medicine. Maybe it’s just because I don’t know the lingo yet, or maybe it’s a warning sign that my interest in the field is going to turn out to be superficial. - It would take a long time. Between postbacc, med school, (maybe) PhD, and residency, I’m looking at another decade before I make money again. Which is fine if I enjoy the process like I think I will. But if I don’t enjoy the process, it’s going to be a long ten years. - Less reading and writing than I’d like, although that’s partially mitigated by doing an MD/PhD rather than just a PhD. I just really want a job where I get to read and write on the daily and the quality of the writing matters a good deal. “Just do that outside of your job!” Yeah, but in practice it’s hard. Academia (PhD in Psychology): On the one hand: - I like sitting down at a desk, reading about things, thinking about things, doing what it takes to get the answer to something that’s been nagging at me, and then writing about the process of finding that answer. The fundamental idea that I could get paid to do something like that is still mindblowing to me. - Checks ALL of the boxes that bugged me about software engineering: You have a degree of autonomy, and you presumably get to work in a field that you’re interested in and that you’re a good cognitive fit for. Law stumbles a bit in the autonomy department. Medicine stumbles a bit in the cognitive fit department. This baby don’t stumble. - To test my enthusiasm for academia, I read as many research papers as I could get my hands on from as many different fields as I could get my hands on. The result? I enjoy reading research papers. I could see myself writing them. This is a good thing, as I understand it, for a career in academia. - In terms of which disciplines “won” (greatest level of interest), three were head and shoulders above the rest: Psych, soc, and econ. I talked to some econ PhDs, and I honestly don’t think I have the mathematical acumen for it. Between (cognitive) psych and soc, neither of them has great career prospects, so it’s a wash there, and I’m slightly more interested in psych, so I might as well just do psych. On the other hand: - Due to mediocre undergraduate GPA and lack of research, I’ll probably have to do a masters or a postbacc first (time and $$) - You gotta always be scrapping for grants and funding. Nobody likes scrapping. - For better or worse, there is a distinct “good” outcome (tenure) that I might not achieve. I know that this is a really contentious topic, and I don’t mean to get anybody riled here, but yeah: I’m gonna be gunning really hard for the outcome that allows me to teach, do research, get paid well, and be difficult to fire. And I might not get it. And that’s extremely worrisome to me. “Making it” in academia, if you have the basic chops, is probably not as unlikely or fluky as, say, making it as an actor. But it’s still unlikely (depending on your field) and still fluky! You could get an advisor you end up not gelling with, and then you’re fucked. You could pursue a line of research that nobody really cares about, and then you’re fucked. (This is what people have told me, anyway). That’s all super scary to me, and it’s definitely an argument in favor of law or medicine, which have more of a “get the degree and collect your job” feel to them. - Arduousness: Everyone says that it’s difficult and demanding and stressful and that you have to make sacrifices. I believe them. And, while I think I’m willing to make those sacrifices, it’s one matter to say that you’re willing and another matter to actually not drop out of the program when you really feel like dropping out. - Covid-19 is currently in the process of upending higher education. It might be fine! But the next few years are a bit of an event horizon: We don’t really know what things are going to look like on the other side. In other words, more risk. Writing (MFA): On the one hand: - A cool “wild card.” - In the “You find out you have 5 years to live, what do you do?” thought experiment, I get an MFA and write a novel every time. Writing creatively is an activity that both hits a ton of neurons AND is somehow infused with meaning for me. - It’d be super fun. On the other hand: - Risk. Risk, risk, risk, risk, risk. Follow your dreams, they say. But what if my dream was to be a professional basketball player in the NBA? Should I follow that dream? To put it another way: I know that I’m a good writer, but it seems like you enter the realm of “luck not optional” when you’re seriously trying to make a living by writing books. I ballparked my odds of eventual success (defined as “I get to write without doing anything else on the side”) at 25% if I get into a top MFA program (which I probably won't anyway). That number is already scarily low to me, and it may well be generous. - My past is littered with the carcasses of unfinished novels. I’ve managed to finish short stories, and I’ve managed to finish screenplays. The novel is the white whale. I think I could do it from within the structure of an MFA program, but who knows? - If I don’t “make it” straight out of the MFA program, I’ll have to go back to doing something pay the bills, and that something will probably be software engineering. And then I’m back where I started: Doing software engineering for money while writing on the side. If I end up just “Doing X and writing on the side,” then I would have been better off spending my grad school golden ticket getting up to speed in an X—law, medicine, psychology—that I enjoy more than software engineering. Where I'm at right now: Trapped in a terrible cycle, pretty much. It goes like this: I choose medicine, and a voice goes, “Really? Once again subjecting yourself to a career where reading and writing artfully isn’t really an integral part of the process? Doing ‘science,’ which we suspect you might not be great at doing? You should do law instead, where your mental machinery seems more suited to the process and the people seem more like ‘your people.’” So I choose law, and a voice goes, “Really? Once again committing to a dynamic where you show up to the office and a superior throws a bunch of work at you and you do the work and go home without having pursued your own lines of inquiry or advanced human knowledge?” “I’ll be a professor,” I say. “No, you really won’t,” the voice says. “Think of all the unhappy lawyers who said they were going to be a professor or go into human rights or whatever. If you want to do research, you should get a PhD instead.” So I choose a PhD (in psychology or sociology), and a voice goes, “Really? A non-econ social science given the state of academia right now? Do you really think there’s a nice tenure-track job waiting for you on the other side of this? If you’re gunning for the risky thing you might as well go all the way and do an MFA.” So I choose an MFA, and a voice goes, “Really? And have to go back to software engineering in two years when you write a book and nobody gives a shit? Why subject yourself to that? If you’re going to write on the side, just be a doctor: It’s better than software engineering in terms of subject-matter interest and humanistic elements, but it offers similar stability and predictability.” Then we’re back at doctor, and the cycle begins anew. Since I listed pretty much every career option out there, I feel compelled to address some of the few that I left off my list. FIRE: Just gut it out for ten more years and then retire! But the thing is, I like working—I like sitting at a desk, reading, writing, doing stuff—and I can think of nothing more enjoyable than embarking on one of the career paths that I listed above. So all I would get by FIRE-ing is more financial stability when I finally pursue one of them. WHICH AIN’T NOTHING. Believe me, I know. But I don’t think it’s worth the tradeoff of being miserable for another 10 years and starting round two close to age 40. Become a Product Manager (PM): Okay, so you don’t like making pie. How about you supervise the people that make pie; wouldn’t that be more fun? No, I just fucking hate pie. ***Further Wrinkles:***I applied to law school last cycle and got into a school just outside of the T14. Still on the waitlist for pretty much all of the T14 except HYS. I am what the kids call a “splitter” (high LSAT, low GPA), so I don’t have any expectations of getting into HYS, and if I do get into CCN it will probably be because Coronavirus fucks everything up and they have to let a bunch of people off the waitlist. If I decide to not do law school this year (either because I decide to do something else or I decide that I can’t commit when I’m this unsure about things), I will be giving up something in-hand that I might not be able to get back. Which is scary. A Final Miscellaneous Thingy: Since I haven’t actually DONE any of this stuff yet, it would be cool if there were some sort of way to dip my toes into two of the options and see which I like better (the proof, as they say, is in the pudding). Something like a premed postbacc program that would allow you to volunteer in a psych or neuroscience lab. I don’t know if that’s a thing, though. Or maybe it is, but by doing it you just make yourself a weak candidate for BOTH med school and psych PhD programs. Okay. Phew. If you’re still here, first of all, thank you, and second of all, sorry. Thoughts? Feel free to be super discouraging, too. “I’m a doctor, and every vibe you’re putting out says, ‘flunks out of med school.’” That’s information! That’s helpful! Thank you again. God bless you, SSC. Edit: Thank you all so much for your kind and thoughtful answers! Tapping out of the thread for a bit while I go eat and do work and that kinda stuff. Gonna look at and respond to all of these, though; I've just been kinda responding in a random order, but I'll get to 'em.
Stock Watcher - 8/18 - MAC's VOLCANO ALERT! $AAL American Airlines - $12.68 (Price AT Post) American Airlines Group Inc. Common Stock, also called American Airlines, is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX. CEO - William Douglas Parker Employees - 133,700 Headquarters - Fort Worth, Texas Founded - 2013 Market Cap - 6.42B Price-Earnings Ratio — Dividend Yield - 3.00 Average Volume - 88.66M MAC has been eyeing theairline stocksand has reason to believe there will be a up move in American Airlines. $AAL is now sitting at a decent support and showing buy strength in the after-hour charts + hourly relative strength index level just above 32, and the TD Sequential showing hourly 9 buy signals. MAC will be looking for the spike and trap drop on the typical 10 am reversal, MAC will have his stop loss limits set close to $11.80 and a jump out as close to $14 or higher before 10 am. Join the Patreonfor all MAC's Stock Picks and Market Alerts + Sports Betting Advice - NFL Picks, MLB Predictions, NBA Plays and more! THIS IS NOT TRADING ADVICE - MAC IS NOT A PROFESSIONAL STOCK TRADER ALL INFORMATION IS PUBLIC KNOWLEDGE AND COMMON SENSE MAC's Charts on TradingView.com
[OC] Annual Reddit NBA Celebrity Game Preview - 2020
Welcome back to the annual event where one Redditor who clearly needs his boss to assign him more work write over 3,000 words on the most meaningless game of basketball that will be nationally televised this year. Once again, this game will highlight low quality basketball, large stretches of time where the camera focusing on things not happening on the court and a surprise celebrity entrant or two. The commentators will talk about the actual game for less then 30% of the time that they are on air. This year will also introduce the Ruffles Celebrity Game Lounge “an exclusive new courtside area that will host celebrities and influencers, who can lounge on couches for an up-close view of the game or get in on the action themselves with activities like pop-a-shot or cornhole.” (NBA.com). This is another way of saying that the TV broadcast will waste large amounts of time interviewing Instagram influencers who are less famous than the celebrities playing in the game, instead of showing the actual game. Unfortunately, the 4-point line was not mentioned and may not be back for this year’s game. I was hoping that they would go in the opposite direction and add a 5-point line. We are back to using “home” and “away” for team names and the hometown heroes have been eliminated from this game. I guess NBA marketing didn’t want to spend 5-minutes thinking of ways to tie the game into Chicago. Notably, the celebrities this year are slightly more famous than last year’s list – only two don’t have Wikipedia pages! There are 2 less player listed for this game than last year, meaning that the NBA/ESPN will have surprise entrants that will make my predictions completely worthless. If you want to check my credentials, lasts year’s breakdown located here. I feel comfortable declaring myself to be the world’s foremost expert on the shit post of All-Star Weekend. Once again, not able to find data/footage of many of the celebrities that will be playing in this year’s game. I ended up having to make judgements on player’s skills without as much evidence to base it on. *Game Info:* Friday, February 14, 2020, 7:00PM, ESPN, Wintrust Arena. \Betting Odds:** Away Team -8 \Over Under:** 155 Break downs of the rosters for each team are below. **Home Team*\* This is a very bad team. Whoever set these rosters should have put more effort into watching YouTube clips to keep the teams balanced. The team is old and lacks size, talent and athleticism. I have a hard time seeing how they can keep up with the Away Team. This team is called the Home Team, yet the Away Team has more Chicago based celebrities. I wish the NBA cared about this game as much as I do. Quentin Richardson and Chelsea Gray are going to need to put some effort in for this team to win. The roster has eight guards and three forwards – not very much height. The starting line-up should be Richardson, Green, Famous Los, Jidenna and Common. I am not expecting huge efforts from Richardson and Green, but Los and Jidenna should provide some athleticism and scoring for the first unit. Common is interchangeable with the rest of the roster. The bench provides nothing and there is no second unit, hopefully the starters are still in shape. This game may not end up being competitive. **Jose Andres*\* (Celebrity Chef) Age: 50 Height: 6’0” Weight: 240 lbs. High school: None College: None This will be Andres’ first appearance in the Celebrity Game. Andres has no known history of playing basketball and I cannot find a record of him appearing in any other celebrity games. A google search tells me that he spends most of his free time fighting with the Trump family. He has OK size, but 50-year olds don’t see a lot of minutes in this game. I will be surprised if he scores any points. **Jon Batiste*\* (Musician) Age: 33 Height: Unknown Weight: Unknown High school: St. Augustine High School College: Juilliard This will be the first NBA celebrity game appearance for Batiste – though it is a bit of a stretch to call him a celebrity. All I know about Batiste’s basketball history is that he played as a kid and that him and Colbert challenged Obama and Biden to a game of 2v2 that was never accepted. Batiste is on the younger side for players in this game and looks athletic. He might be able to help on D an score single digit points. **Kane Brown*\* (Recording Artist) Age: 26 Height: 6’2” Weight: 174 lbs. High school: Three different ones somehow (played varisty) College: None Kane will be making his NBA Celebrity debut in 2020. Kane shoots a weird face level, push jumper that hits well in an empty gym, but I can’t see it translating into a game, although there won’t be a lot of defense in this game. I also watched him shoot 5/11 from the free-throw line and did not feel inspired. He has good height, youth and looks fit, so I think he will see upwards of 15 minutes. He has the potential to score 6 points. **Famous Los*\* (Influencer) Age: 30 Height: 5’11” Weight: 165 lbs. High school: Riverside-Durham (Played Varsity) College: Union (Played Varsity) This will be Famous Los’ second consecutive appearance in the Celebrity Game. Los has the pedigree of having averaged 37 points per game in High School and Playing in the NCAA Division II. He had a hard time getting on the court in college, but that background makes him one of the best players in this game. He is a quick, scoring guard, who struggles defensively, but there won’t be many players in this game who are difficult to guard. I can see him being a star for this team and an MVP candidate. In 2019 Los started and played 20 minutes scoring 22 points on 10/16 shooting along with 2 rebound, 3 assists and a steal while winning the game MVP. He is one of the three best players on this team and likely will lead the team in scoring. **Hannibal Buress*\* (Comedian) Age: 37 Height: 5’ 10” Weight: 190 lbs. High school: Steinmetz College Prep College: Southern Illinois University Carbondale Buress has never played in the NBA Celebrity game before. I also was unable to unearth any footage of his game on the YouTube scouting service. He isn’t very tall or young, I don’t expect too much from him. **Chelsea Gray*\* (WNBA Player) Age: 27 Height: 5’11” Weight: 170 lbs. High school: St. Mary’s (Played Varsity) College: Duke (Played Varsity) Chelsea Gray is a 3-time WNBA All Start and 1-time WNBA Champion. She has averaged 11.4 points, 4.1 assists and 2.9 rebounds per game over her career. She is a good ball distributer and 3-point shooter. WNBA and NBA players usually don’t try very hard in this game, but the Home team is going to need output from its professionals if this game is going to be competitive. **Jidenna*\* (Recording Artist) Age: 34 Height: 6’ 1” Weight: 175 lbs. High school: Milton Academy College: Stanford Am I supposed to know who Jidenna is? This will be his first celebrity game appearance. I watched a 30 second clip of him playing pick-up and I think he might be able to ball. He has a nice-looking jumper and good handles. He should start for this team and may be able to put up double-digit points. **Alex Moffat*\* (ActoComedian) Age: 37 Height: 5’8” Weight: Unknown High school: North Shore Country Day College: Denison University Moffat is another rookie to the Celebrity Game. Moffat’s basketball pedigree includes being a member of the Chicago Bulls acrobatic dunk team. At 5’ 8” it is pretty unlikely that he can dunk without a trampoline. Being short, white and kinda old, I would be surprised if he scored more than 2 points. **Common*\* (RappeActor) Age: 47 Height: 6’0” Weight: 185 lbs High school: Luther High School College: Florida A&M University This will be Common’s eighth appearance in the Celebrity Game. He really has nothing to show for his vast playing experience in this game. He was on the roster in 2018 but did not appear in the game. Common’s father was an ABA player and he has an athletic build, so I supposed the potential is there. Common is an above average ball handler and defender but is only an OK shooter by Celebrity Game standards. I think he will function as a back-up wing for this team. **Bad Bunny*\* (Singer) Age: 25 Height: 6’0” Weight: 175lbs High school: Unknown College: Puerto Rico at Arecibo This will be Bad Bunny’s second consecutive NBA Celebrity Game appearance. I had low expectations for him last year and he largely delivered on them failing to score in 12 minutes while pulling down 2 rebounds. He is probably in better shape than some of the players in this game, allowing him to put up some hustle points. I would expect low minutes and low production. **Quentin Richardson*\* (NBA Legend) Age: 39 Height: 6’6” Weight: 228 lbs High school: Whitney Young (Played Varsity) College: DePaul (Conference Player of the Year) Using the term “NBA Legend” to describe Quentin Richardson is really a stretch. Quavo might actually be a better player than him at this point. In his NBA career, Richardson averaged 10.3 points and 4.7 rebounds in 26.5 minutes per game. He led the league in 3-point shots attempted in 2004-2005, real bummer for him that the 4-point line may not be part of this year’s game. As with all former NBA players in this game, he could be effort in and be one the best players on the floor, or he might just mail it in. **Coach:*\* Michael Wilbon (Pardon the Interruption) ESPN went back to using their own personalities to coach the game, instead of actual coaches. Wilbon will be sure to let you know that he has talked to Red Auerbach, Phil Jackson and Coach K about how to coach this game. Coaches really don’t matter, but I don’t see Wilbon adding anything more than some name drops or humblebrags. Player Skill Ranking:
**Away Team*\* The Away Team is comprised of four veterans and seven rookies to the celebrity game. The roster has five guards and six forwards. This is a large line-up for a Celebrity game (if you don’t count Ohashi in the average) and will lead to dominating the glass. This team also has a good mix of skills on the team including ball handlers, shooters and post players and has a go-to scorer. The starting line-up is more talented than the Home Team, although the bench doesn’t really have any talent either. I think Quavo will likely dominate the game again. I would start Quavo, Wilson, 2K, Miles and Hawkins. I think that the Away Team has a better roster and should win this game by 6 to 10 points. **A’ja Wilson*\* (WNBA Player) Age: 23 Height: 6’4” Weight: 195 lbs. High school: Heathwood Hall Episcopal (2014 High School Player of the Year) College: South Carolina (2018 National Player of the Year) Wilson will be making her seconds appearance in the NBA Celebrity Game. Wilson has everything that the rest of this game doesn’t: height, skills, youth and athleticism. The only thing she can’t do is well shoot from range. She has averaged 18 points and 7 rebounds per game in the WNBA. Wilson will be the best player on this team, but the WNBA players have a long history of putting no effort into this game. In 2019 she scored 11 points in 20 minutes to go along with 2 rebounds and assist, a steal and a block – which is a great stat line for a WNBA player in this game. She will be a big part of this team. **Ronnie 2K*\* (marketing) Age: 37 Height: 6’5” Weight: Unknown High school: Redwood College: California – San Diego Ronnie 2K had an extremely disappointing Celebrity game debut last year. He scored 4 points in 15 minutes with a plus/minus of -12. He also grabbed 6 boards, had an assist and blocked 2 shots. He is basically going to be a garbage man for this team and do the little things that most people don’t care about in a celebrity game. **Anthony “Spice” Adams*\* (former NFL player, TV Host) Age: 39 Height: 6’0” Weight: 310 lbs. High school: Martin Luther King College: Penn State Anthony Adams aka Spice aka Cream E. Biggums will be making his first NBA Celebrity appearance. From an entertainment perspective, he is going to be a massive hit. His uniform will struggle to contain the quadriceps meat and he has the best rec specs in the business. Spice is a SIZABLE man and could push people all over the post. However, he prefers to shoot from distance despite shooting approximately 5% in an empty gym. He shoots free throws granny style for an added bonus. Biggums will play minutes to entertain the people and will probably shoot 1/13 from the field with 3 fouls. Adams will not have the best cardio in this game. **Taylor Bennet*\* (Rapper) Age: 24 Height: Unknown Weight: Unknown High school: Urban Prep College: None I was not aware that Chance the Rapper had a brother, apparently, he has one who will be making his first and likely only appearance in the Celebrity Game. There is not footage of his game available online, so I will assume that based on his age, he can at least hustle. I don’t foresee Bennet getting big minutes. **Chance the Rapper*\* (Rapper) Age: 26 Height: 5’10” Weight: 182 lbs. High school: Jones College Prep College: None Chance is the more famous of The Rapper brothers and is likely the most famous person in this game, as well as a Chicago icon. For that reason he will get to play as much as he wants to. Chance has AWFUL form on his jumper (watch him miss 11-straight in an empty gym). I think that the internet has been scrubbed of all other Chance hoops footage because it is offensive to life. I am excited to see him chuck multiple airballs. **Mark Lasry*\* (Milwaukee Bucks owner) Age: 59 Height: Unknown Weight: Unknown High school: Unknown College: Clark Lasry has played in the past four Celebrity Games. His most impressive achievement was putting up a game low -20 in plus/minus in 2016, while putting up 8 points and 6 rebounds in 18 minutes. He played less in 2017 and was mainly used to guard fellow owner Mark Cuban. In 2018, he was on the court for 9 minutes and scored 3 points while grabbing 2 rebounds. In 2019 he managed to not score a single point in 16 minutes but did manage a steal and 2 rebounds. Lasry is old, slow and short, but has sneaky old man game. He is good at back door cuts, being in good spots on the floor and has a good mid-range jumper. He is a liability on the defensive end, being an old man and everything. Lasry is once again the oldest player in the game. It would be a mistake for him to play more than 5 minutes. **LaRoyce Hawkins*\* (Actor) Age: 31 Height: 6’3” Weight: 176 lbs. High school: Thornton College: Illinois State Hawkins is yet another Celebrity Game rookie. He has a record of playing some level of youth basketball, but that was all that I was able to determine of his pedigree. 6’ 3” is decent height for this game, maybe he can post up. **Quavo*\* (Rapper) Age: 28 Height: 5’10” Weight: 163lbs High school: Berkmar College: None Quavo previously appeared as a surprise entrant in in the 2018 game, posting 19 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists while shooting 7 of 10 from the floor and playing a game high 36-minutes. He was voted as the game’s MVP. He returned last year to put up 27 points and 9 rebounds in 26 minutes and should have been the MVP again even though his team lost. Quavo is quick, can shoot and can handle the ball and most importantly, puts effort into this game. He is going to lead this team and scoring and could repeat as MVP. He might be a better player than the NBA legends at this point in time. **Lil Rey Howery*\* (Actor / Comedian) Age: 40 Height: 5’6” Weight: 164 lbs. High school: Crane Highschool (Played Varsity) College: None Lil Rey has never appeared in this game before. He did appear in Uncle Drew and played high school ball, which means he has an outstanding resume for this game. I have no idea if he is good or not, but he is one of the shortest players to appear in this game. **Darius Miles*\* (NBA Legend) Age: 39 Height: 6’9” Weight: 235 lbs. High school: East St. Louis (All American) College: None I guess they just call all former players “Legends” in 2020. Miles had an 8-year NBA career averaging 10.1 points and 4.9 rebounds in 26 minutes – a Hall of Famer if you ask me. Miles shot 16% from three and 59% from the free throw line in the NBA, thus he will fit in well in this game. At 6’ 9” (nice) there is no one in this game that could guard him down low. The level of effort that former players (sorry legends) will put in is always unknown. **Katelyn Ohashi*\* (Gymnast) Age: 22 Height: 5’1” Weight: 105 lbs. High school: Plano Senior Highschool College: UCLA Gymnasts are great athletes, but they don’t make good basketball players – see the height and weight issues. I don’t think Ohashi can dribble, shoot or make a layup. Short people getting stuffed always makes the people happy. Coach: Stephen A. Smith (ESPN Personality) The combination of Stephen A. with his assistant coach Guy Fieri is one of the best ideas that ESPN has had in a while. I think it is a disgrace that Guy Fieri is not playing in the game instead of coaching. Stephen A. seems like someone who has the ability to destroy locker room chemistry, if he can keep his mouth shut and just keep Quavo on the floor, this team should win. Player Skill Ranking:
Lil Rey Howery
Chance the Rapper
**MVP ODDS*\* Quavo 3:2 Famous Los 5:1 Spice Adams 8:1 Jidenna 10:1 LaRoyce Hawkins 10:1 WNBA 20:1 NBA Legend 20:1 Field 20:1
INTJ: Stock Investor-Able to use their Ni-Te to evaluate future potential of a certain asset and use data to predict its functionality. Mostly value investors (Warren Buffet style). ENTJ: Startup CEO-They are attracted to new industries and fields where they can be pioneers,which startups provide. Mostly its tech or fintech startups where there is high potential for both huge profits and becoming well known in the media-achieving cult of personality. Te-Ni. INTP: Software Engineer-Extremely attracted to this field which provides them with constant need for analysis and tweaking the system,finding loopholes and being logically consistent-Ti. Also there is a lot of novelty and need to keep up with new technologies which feeds their Ne. ENTP: Stand-up Comedian-Somewhat stereotypical but nonetheless true because of the core need for clever understanding of both social,artistic and technical aspects of language,comedy and society. There are so many topics to be turned in to laughs and so many ways to look at the world through comedy which their Ne-Ti appreciates,also the social aspect of it with positive affirmation from others is a bonus for their Fe. ISTP: Sports Bettor- Perhaps a bit strange but take a moment to analyse. Most ISTPs are highly cerebral people and sports are full of data,metrics and mathematics to use to figure out a perfect match-Ti. This is in line with their pragmatic approach to life. Also adrenaline and the high of sports betting go great with ISTPs Se and their need for sensory stimulation. The ISTPs are able to achieve a practical goal of winning money through their clever use of data which also brings a sense of concretenes to this field.There is also lots of glamour and attention given to big bettors so that can feed their Se-Fe. ISFP: 3D Animator- ISFPs thrive in the artistic fields but much more than that they are very underrated at using their thinking to do their art. And animating requires a sharp eye and a knack for understanding space and body dynamics as well as an aptitude for detail and a certain flow of style. ISFPs are able to give their work meaning and beauty which can be achieved easily through animation since it is so visual. In general 3D animation needs patience,creativity and soul to truly bring characters to life which falls in line with ISFPs Fi-Se-Ni. ESTP: Professional Athlete-(NBA,NFL player...) - ESTPs are naturally very physical people in tune with their environment. They can become extremely good players at top leagues and this motivates them to become great at what they do. Also the attention and idolization of athletes boosts their ego and they love being the center of attention at the court. In short sports provide ESTPs with everything they want out of life- Action,fame,women and cocaine. Se-Ti to the max. ESFP: Prostitute...nah just kiding. Actor-Profession of acting has been a haven for ESFPs throughout history and many of the most famous actors were ESFPs. This field provides them with both glamorous lifestyle and fame they desire along with all the material posessions they want and also with becoming truly great at their craft and being in the moment,experiencing the emotion and wearing their character like a part of themselves which goes well with their Se and Fi need for authenticity. ESTJ: Lawyer- This field gives ESTJs a stable high source of income,prestige and respect of their peers along with the opportunity to advance their careers and solidify their skills. Deep down many ESTJs care about justice and law provides at least the opportunity to fight for it. It is also full of information long before written with pre-determined rules which sides well with their Si,but also needs creativity and in the moment thinking to truly be good-Ne. Law needs you to be objective and put your feelings aside which ESTJs do quite easily with their Te. ISTJ: Heart Surgeon-Perhaps an unusual choice but hear me out: ISTJs are detail oriented people to the max and this field needs that like no other,along with long education and a skyscraper amount of information to remember it appeals to ISTJs for many reasons like that. Also it can go well with their desire to help those in need and master their craft to the tiniest detail. Si-Te-Fi. ESFJ: Human Resource Manager- This job is made for ESFJs since they are so in sync to other people and they can get to motivate them,work trough their problems or simply cheer them up. But ESFJs are not just some cute creatures,they are very much strategic in their approach and can be very systematic in bringing out the best out of people Fe-Si. ISFJ: School Teacher- ISFJs are often looked down upon compared to some "smart" types,but ISFJs fulfill such a powerful role in our society. They as teachers provide most important education whilst following the school system of work Si and also managing to appeal to all students to form a small community of togetherness Fe. They will also employ many surprisingly innovative methods to make the student material easier to understand Ti-Ne. INFJ: Psychiatrist- You probably already knew I was gonna say that. But INFJs incredible insight and thorough understanding of other people's psyche can't be ignored,which makes them perfect as psychiatrists. They are able to go deep inside their patients minds all the while employing scientific measures to truly identify the sources of their pain Ni. INFJs don't shy from trying out many innovative methods and this thing we all like here (cognitive functions and mbti) was invented by an INFJ so...Anyway this field also gives INFJs space to truly sit with other people's emotions and feel them as if those emotions were their own Fe. In the end besides the curiosity psychiatry also gives INFJs the opportunity to help people and make them shine brighter. ENFJ: Non Profit CEO- ENFJs are similar to ENTJs in the regard that they also want to be pioneers except their goal is to ultimately improve people at large and give back to those in need. Of course this isn't the only thing attracting ENFJs to this field. Because they don't want to just help a couple of people,they want to improve the social system for everyone so that everyone or the majority can live well and not be opressed. Fe-Ni. ENFP: Fiction Writer- Another perhaps stereotypical typing,but ENFPs Ne-Fi combo goes so well with the imagination needed to write fiction,and truly good fiction at that. They will create so many great characters,plot-lines and twists that they may forget some important details-inferior Si. But with their wit and desire to create something meaningful that other people can relate to their work will not go unnoticed. INFP: Nurse- Maybe a little weird but hear me out again. This job requires empathy...so much of it. And this type has the potential to have lots of it due to their strong Fi. Also the job is very personal and you get to know people intimately and perhaps even console them in their last moments,which INFPs with their Fi-Ne appreciate and understands how to bring peace to them. ~The End~ ps. if you are interested visit diogenism
Australian Open First Round Men's Singles (WTA First Round to follow)
The Australian Open directors are getting a lot of flack, and rightfully so. Running a tournament is incredibly time-consuming as you have to fix the draw, disrespect the players health, be willfully ignorant and not mention worldwide issues that are within miles of the location, and then there is all that scheduling. I am inclined to cut them some slack though, as very few things that draw complaint and ire are black and white. The Australian Open is a HUGE source of revenue for Melbourne, and aside from aussie rules football might be one of the largest events held in the calendar year. My first inkling given the air quality being reported (1 day outside the equivalent of smoking 20 packs of cigarettes was reported on the news in towns near the fire) was that the event was in real danger of being cancelled, and while it is irresponsible to allow players to compete if they are in danger, the directors are under tremendous financial pressure to make this event happen. We all will be keeping a close eye on the players ability to dig deep in these 3/5 matches, and given the physical toll the AO has already been known to take due to the heat I expect this to be a very gritty event. For the first time in a few years I don’t think there is a clear favorite to run away with the men’s or women’s title, and that spells hungry tennis from the guys who are in the hunt. In the men’s I think Nadal, Federer, Novak, Medvedev, Tsitsipas, Khachanov, and Rublev will have a strangehold on the later rounds, with Berretini and Shapovalov being the darkhorse candidates. The women’s has Barty, Pliskova, Osaka, and a resurgent Serena (hasn’t played a top player but she improved at each event last year and there’s no reason to think she won’t be a bit calmer this year if she reaches the later stages of an event) looking to get busy on adding to their already impressive legacies, and I have to say Osaka showed a level of patience and ballstriking several times in her run at Brisbane that made her look almost unbeatable. Her backhand seems to have improved as well as she’s been able to hit sharper angles than usual which enables her to utilize the slightly unorthodox down the line pass that she hits. Fuck all that two weeks from now noise though. Let’s pick winners. I’ll be doing the WTA also and editing it in here (might make a second post if it doesn't fit due to character length), but I wanted to get this up early. Also character max (40k) doesn't let me post it all so the rest is going in the comments. Nadal Dellien : While he should win this comfortably, this is a big fu to Nadal to play this guy in the early rounds. I often think directors place guys who Federer and Nadal and Novak are very similar to against them in the early rounds, and while this benefits Federer playing guys like Kohl and Gojo and skill players who don’t take a big toll on the bones, Nadal gets the short end of the stick playing Schwartzman and other grinders seemingly nonstop. Dellien had a lot of bettors hearts hurting with his gutsy performance against Kwon last year at the USO, and he’ll extend rallies here as much as he can. Given his preference for clay, his court positioning isn’t going to be such that Nadal will have much pressure, but he (Nadal) will have to earn all his points. Nadal in 3 annoying sets. Delbonis Sousa : Two good dudes. Delbonis is coming off qualifying in Adelaide before losing to hometown favorite Duckworth and Sousa is coming off a disappointing loss to Vasek Pospisil where he was literally hit off the court. That is something that for a journeyman like Sousa who prides himself on making matches physical is a tough one to take, and although generally he’d be favored over Delbonis, this one may be difficult for him since he doesn’t have a lot of matches or confidence. Delbonis has top level offense when he’s serving well, and his backhand is a cannon, but this is not his best surface and he is prone to throwing in 4-5 poor points in a row. Expect this to go 4 or more sets, with Sousa’s backhand errors and Delbonis’ serving issues deciding the outcome. I’d lean Sousa. Eubanks Gojowczyk : Eubanks qualifying for the AO is a big step for him. He has a great serve and big swings but he struggles with his movement and consistency. Gojowczyk is the guy you’d hate to play doubles with until you randomly won the tournament. He will hit the ball awkwardly into the net over and over trying to make his shots perfect, but when he’s on he can take the raquet out of anyone’s hands like a poorman’s Martin Klizan. The errors won’t help him here, as his shots don’t have to perfect against Eubanks. Given Eubanks usual status as a WC entrant, his qualifying run has to lend itself to him having a pretty good chance to win some sets here, and his serving game and Gojo’s awkward returning mean this will likely be decided in tiebreakers. It’s hard to bet against the more experienced player in Gojo, but I could see either one taking this in 4-5 sets. Kovalik Carreno Busta : Kovalik is one of the few players to actually come back on a protected ranking and lose for a year and then gain traction. You love to see it and Marcel-Stebe is another one who seemed destined to be off the tour and then kinda got things together eventually. Kovalik has funky offense and is a solid challenger threat on clay to anyone he plays. This is the wrong first round for him. Although PCB went down fairly quickly to Lloyd Harris this past week, he finished up last year in fairly decent form after a horrendous return from injury that saw Benoit Paire use him as target practice several times, and 15-40 become his usual starting point in his service games. PCB may drop a set but barring injury his defense and consistent pace of play should be too much for Kovalik. PCB in 4 Kyrgios Sonego : “What are you gonna do, go bet on Kajeerios?” said Miguel. My friends have not been wholly supportive of my decision to bet tennis fulltime, and have not been supportive of the proper pronunciation of any of these people’s names. Further still, they think that gambling and Nick Kyrgios go anywhere near each other. They don’t. As a -700 favorite against Lorenzo Sonego, there should be no way that Nick can lose this match. He has a solid backhand, the best serve on tour when he’s motivated, and a ton of skill. Unfortunately, ignorance is bliss, and Nick is wasting his best years not training and not competing because of nothing we can blame him for. Talented athletes come and go in sport, and their burden is to find the motivation when they likely have always just been able to “turn it up” when they wanted to win. In a sport where people train outrageously hard, Nick somehow finds himself in the same position. That ability to turn it up numbs the losses. “I don’t care about this,” is a fair statement and “I could win if I wanted to” is dangerous knowledge because it means you really only do win when you want to. “What do I really want” is too tricky a question for someone as superficial as Nick and so his mental struggles on the court will likely continue. I expect Sonego to steal a set here as he has a good bit of skill and is hungry to take the next step in his ascent, but really this is players at different stages of their career, and Nick should be ready to contend for a title now. Still, if a child doesn’t want to eat their broccoli no amount of promising them it’s good for them will work. Nick in 4 or Sonego in 4 noisy whiney bitchfit sets. Cuevas Simon : Simon played well in his one match at the ATP cup but fell quickly to Chardy, who then seemed too tired to compete against PCB a round later. This doesn’t give me much confidence, and for the past two seasons it seems like Simon is able to beat everyone one week, then about as good as a pusher can be without winning for the rest. This is a winnable match for him given Cuevas’ struggles to find consistent form on hardcourt, and his defensive prowess being his best form. Cuevas has the offense, variety, and physical ability to make hardcourt matches close against most of the top 100, but doesn’t really string the wins together as he tends to experience surges in form within matches. It won’t be lost on either of these veterans that NK likely waits in the next round and he is willing to gift anyone a win at any time. The “this is his home event he won’t disrespect it” idea would make sense but to me that just adds to the looming frustration of a loss that sits in the back of his head as he decides whether or not to give his best effort. I gotta stop talking about this guy. No pick here and I expect Simon to come through. Uchiyama Ymer : Mikael Ymer has been the hottest player not quite on the tour for the past two months. He’s won a ton of matches on the challenger circuit and played moderately well in the nextgen cup. Uchiyama flies under the radar but is exactly the player to stretch Ymer if he makes errors. The match will be on Ymer’s raquet but you have to think how often you have been seeing Uchiyama’s name in the draws at majors and how the pressure of being the “name” player will affect Ymer’s ability to perform. Still, this is giving too much credence to Ymer’s past as an inconsistent player. His athletic ability and serve should get him through this one. Ymer in 5. Vilella Martinez Khachanov : I love Khachanov’s game but am consistently nervous when he plays qualifiers in the early rounds. He plays such a high intensity game that he seems to bring people up to his level, and Vilella Martinez who I’ll admit I’ve never seen play has been snagging people all week in the qualifiers that he was not expected to. Can he overcome a top 20 player in his first major on tour? Likely not, but I expect him to acquit himself nicely and possible even take a set if Khachanov is still finding problems in consistency on his forehand wing. Khachanov in 3-4. Monfils Lu : I’m assuming Lu is in on a protected ranking or something as I haven’t seen him active on tour since giving Zverev a heart attack way back when. Monfils has been equally inactive but this is one of those “Monfils looked in great form in the 1st round” matches and given Pospisil and FAA in the next two rounds Monfils should be primed for a good run here at the AO. Monfils in 3 unless he really doesn’t make an effort. Karlovic Pospisil : The fairy godmother returns! Karlovic serving looks like a fairy granting wishes with their magic wand. I hope he wins this, but he probably won’t. Pospisil is seemingly approaching the levels that people thought he would in the past before he struggles with back injuries, and I’m still not convinced of his potential to be anything other than another Dimitrov type overrated underperforming talent, but his ballstriking is solid enough here to win the few rallies they’ll get into. Pospisil in 4 tbs. Duckworth Bedene : This seems like one of the cheapest games of the first round, with Bedene sitting at just -160. Duckworth played well and beat Delbonis this past week, but really hasn’t been in any real matches on tour besides playing Andy Murray in one of his earlier comebacks. I get that the guy is a hometown favorite but Bedene has been a consistent challenger winner and a tour 2nd and 3rd rounder for 5 years now, and I think his serve/forehand combo are enough to maintain control of this match. Bedene in 3-4. Gulbis FAA : Rough one for Felix to start the tournament with. Gulbis is Nick Kyrgios travelled back in time to warn him to make an effort, but instead he noticed the tour hadn’t really progressed that far and just hopped into qualifying. Gulbis marching easily through qualifying is tough for any first round opponent since his height and power make him able to hold serve at the end of sets when the qualifiers offense is supposed to falter. FAA had a rough patch at the end of 2019 but got it together after the FAA cup and was hitting with excellent length in his loss against Rublev this week. With Rublev pegged as a future #1 by John McEnroe last year, this is a good sign that FAA should have a decent Australian Open. What we’re all expecting though is the dominant 3 set future #1 beating from FAA and I’m not sure if it will go that simply. FAA in 5 or fewer if he’s able to win the tiebreakers. Fritz Griekspoor : I don’t even think given some of Fritz’ past performances that he should be favored in this matchup. Griekspoor has a big game, a great compact serve, and is in form on these courts after coming through qualifying. Fritz will need to come out early with solid serving in order to put some doubt in Talon’s mind. The “working your way into the match” pushing the backhand into play bs that Fritz falls into will have this one going 5 sets before he knows it and guess which player has been playing more tennis recently (it isn’t Fritz). Man I do not like the US strategy of awarding WCs nonstop to players who don’t win and I think it has poisoned Fritz and Tiafoe and a few others who have the game to compete but lack the killer instinct. Griekspoor in 4. Ivashka Anderson : Unfortunate for Ivashka to pull a better version of himself. Ivashka boast a big serve and forehand and unlike many big men can play defense and hang in a rally. Anderson has been very inactive but is a better version of this. While his losses can be bizarre (Pella dispatching him in straights) he did fairly well at the ATP Cup against a hapless Christian Garin and should be a solid favorite to come through here. In the past I’ve been guilty of backing Ivashka against the questionable tour names like Monfils which is a fun sweat but hasn’t produced any dollars, so this time I will sit quietly. Anderson in 4-5. Bolt ARV : If it’s tennis in Australia, Alexander Bolt seems to be up for the task. A consistent qualifier and performer in the early 250 events, Bolt is a high energy player with a big serve and a compact backhand. This is not a great matchup for him, as ARV was hit off the court by Tommy Paul but first beat Munar and Thompson, two guys who don’t make many errors and try to push the pace. ARV looked rock solid against both and didn’t make many errors. I do believe he brings a level of defense that will stifle Bolt’s offense, and him being lefty is going to negate some of Bolt’s advantages. ARV in 3-4. Mannarino Thiem : I forgot about Thiem when I was writing the intro. His hardcourt game has progressed and in my opinion he’s the most skilled player on tour right now outside the big 3. “Mannarino is a tricky lefty” I’m tired of writing that. Mannarino doesn’t beat guys with power, and mostly pushes the ball onto the backhand wing, which is the wrong strategy against Thiem. Thiem in 3 and Mannarino falls down at least once from the weight of shot. Medvedev Tiafoe : Great. Medvedev who works hard and plays consistent and doesn’t bail out of volleys and takes his losses quietly against an overrated dude with an enabling camp. I am so disappointed in Tiafoe’s lack of progress and his immediate willingness to fistpump anytime anything goes right. Is there still no one in his camp that will tell him that consistent level of play is what wins on tour, not shots. Look at Benoit Paire who is supremely talented and hits 30+ winners per match but always finds himself in deciding sets. Tiafoe has really no chance here, and it’s sad because had he spent his time earning his way on tour rather than being gifted it, he would be able to compete at this level already. He’s one of the best athletes on tour with one of the worst perspectives. Medvedev in 3. Koepfer Martinez : Pedro Martinez qualifying on hardcourt is pretty damn impressive to me, and he has a guy who just spent a year doing some impressive qualifying. I’m glad Koepfer gets his first direct entry into a major, and he should have an advantage here, after his main struggle in majors being fatigue in early rounds after pushing to get through the qualifying. Martinez has the game to take a set here and Koepfer’s height means he has to play every point a bit harder than most guys, but he should have the consistency to muscle through, and his lefty offense is legit. Koepfer in 4-5. Gaston Munar : Gaston is the French selection for the WC into this event, and he will go up against one of the more difficult defensive tests on the tour. Munar doesn’t give up much, and is constantly improving. Gaston is getting acclimated to the challenger tour and isn’t quite there yet, but this will be good experience for him and hopefully he’ll earn his way there in the future. Munar in 3. Popyrin Tsonga : Popyrin was an early round terror for a lot of people in 2019. 2020 has been a middling but brief start for him but he seems to be in good form. Tsonga has played one event and was quickly dismissed by Kecmanovic. This means very little as Tsonga is prone to not giving his best effort at 250 level events, and really has excelled mostly on the indoor tour and any event located in France. Family life and the 2nd half of his career may have taken a toll on Tsonga’s commitment to fitness, and that makes this match a question mark. Tsonga has the offense to take this match over, and the experience plus name to have this be a mental battle for Popyrin if he gets close to the finish line. Impossible to predict this one, but it’s hard to see either player winning in straight sets. Tsonga in 4-5 if he’s fit and Popyrin in 4 if he’s fat. Isner Monteiro : Monteiro’s impact has been absent on the hardcourt tour for a while now, and it was interesting to see him come through qualifying and beat Norrie before falling to Paire. The loss to Paire seems like one he’d want back but Paire played some of his best tennis ever last week in his finals run. Monteiro gets a bonus in this matchup as he’ll have an easier time holding serve than he would against the rest of the tour, but Isner had a good time in Adelaide and got his serve going for a few matches. Generally when he is in form, his matches include tiebreakers and tiebreakers against Isner are as exhausting to play as they are boring to watch. Isner not being able to hit his backhand into the court is about the same as NBA players not being able to sink a free throw. I know he’s a bigman and bigman tennis and fearhand and all the dumb excuses Tennis Channel makes for him, but get Gimelstob out of your box, fix your swing on the backhand wing, and try to be more than just a guy who ruins draws. Isner in 4. I’m not sure why I suddenly got angry at Isner at the end of that, but I’m not taking it back. Tabilo Galan : It always amazes me when I see guys like Coric and Querrey playing first round that they allow qualifiers to play each other. To be fair, they usually play into a bad section of the draw, but the increased prize money makes it seem like an awesome shot for the guys who land in that section. Tabilo is a good player from Chile and none of you have seen him play. I also have not seen him play, but recent results playing close with Luke Saville and Marc Polmans, coupled with his win over Stakhovsky suggest he’s on the cusp of making the tour. Galan on the other hand is a year ahead of him, and did some very impressive qualifying last year. He has that niche factor of never being out of a match regardless of the score, and pushes the pace with his forehand and hits with range which can be difficult for some players to adjust to. His game reminds me a bit of Joao Sousa, and I lean towards his experience, but have no real way to suggest who will win this match. Kecmanovic Seppi : After a disappointing injury led to his US Open exit, Kecmanovic has to be all kinds of fired up to get back into a major event. This kind of speculative thinking leads to a lot of poor wagers as people back guys in “comeback games” against their old teams or “revenge matches” after prior losses. Seppi is a very tricky opponent who is as accurate as he is calm. He doesn’t have the power to really hit through Kecmanovic’s defense but he has the experience to get deep in sets and his ease of pulling the trigger on what he considers the right shot regardless of the situation can make him dangerous once he gets there. Kecmanovic is likely going to be able to take advantage of Seppi’s spot serving with his movement and should wrap this one up in 4. Kecmanovic in 4. Dzumhur Wawrinka : Dzumhur has looked good the past two weeks in the events he played on the challenger tour and in Qatar, but this is the perfect matchup for Wawrinka to begin his run. Wawrinka managed to be frontpage on the AO page after one of my associates texted me excited about taking a Wawrinka future at 50/1, which means to me he is in immediate peril. Stan has been improving every match he’s played since his return to the tour, and although it’s been a while, that just means he’s still trying to get back to the top of the tour. Dzumhur has to produce a great deal of variety to win on tour given his lack of physical dominance, and while his skill is brilliant, at times his errors and demeanor is as well. I don’t really see him winning a lot of baseline rallies, so this will likely come down to who is able to hold serve easier. That should be Stan, and I think he comes through here with at least one hiccough. Wawrinka in 4. Goffin Chardy : I swear these guys have played each other like 10 times in the first round at majors, but Wimbledon and Roland Garros are the only spots they’ve met with a straight set victory going to Chardy on clay and Goffin on grass. Chardy looked bad last week against PCB after a decent win over countryman Simon, but he is a dangerous player in the first round of any event. He sometimes lacks the timing and with his very smooth oldschool game it’s important to minimize errors in today’s compact game. Goffin is in good form again after a lonnnnnnnng return from eye problems that started to look like he’d never get it together again. His serve can become ineffective at times and i’m hesitant to cite weather but I believe Goffin will have the easier time competing in the smoky heat of Melbourne. Still, it’s difficult to put out a guy who can play the kind of flawless offense that Jeremy can, so I’d expect Goffin in 4. Herbert Norrie : This is a nice matchup of two guys on tour everyone expects to beat but nobody wants to play. Herbert is an upset threat in any 2/3 match and his variety/skill stemming from his years dominating doubles actually make him able to compete with a higher quality of opponent than his results would suggest. Norrie is somehow the opposite. His simple game and preference for the grind make him struggle with pretty much every opponent he plays. I really think the flat backhand/topspin forehand combination is a bad one as his opponents can choose which ball they’re better capable of defending when they’re on defense. Herbert unfortunately won’t be the underdog here, and that makes it somewhat more difficult to back him. Norrie plays a low-risk low-reward game, but in a 3/5 format the grind can often be rewarded when one player is looking to play a skilled game and the other guy is bunting the ball back to you and making british noises. I don’t think either player can run away with this one, but I hope Herbert does. Herbert in 5. Sugita Benchetrit : A lotta qualifiers are going to be squinting at this spot in the draw thinking at what could have been. Sugita can win the matches you count him out of, and it’s easy to overlook his consistency on tour over time due to his lack of marquee wins. Benchetrit pulled upset after upset to come through qualifying and that form makes him about even money in my mind to win this one. Sugita is a challenger tour journeyman and is used to competing with these guys, but somehow these two haven’t met. The winner meets Rublev, so I’m not going to put too much thought into this one. Sugita in 4-5. Rublev O’Connell : This is unfortunate for O’Connell to be playing the hottest player on tour right now. Rublev is also playing some good ball. I spent 2019 making fun of Rublev’s appearance, but I’ll spend 2020 backing him to win tennis matches. Back to back titles and McEnroe stating that he thought he was a future #1 about a year and a half ago have me starting to believe. In the past he’d cough up errors when pressed defensively, but he came up with the answer in the past week every time he was pressed, utilizing some skill that many had not seen before (a few onehanded slice passes and some beautiful two handed lobs). The second serve is a liability as he tends to just spin it in but until he plays a top-tier returner of Benoit freakin Paire he will do fine behind it as he’s one of the best baseliners on tour. O’Connell has been the most consistent player on the challenger tour in the past year and if you watch this match you’re going to hear about how he worked on a fishing boat and now it’s a feelgood story. He has a smooth onehanded backhand and just keeps hitting the court until people fold. The key to beating him has been absurd power and that’s where Rublev (barring fatigue or injury) will end his tournament. Rublev in 3. Basilashvili Kwon : Kwon getting to play in the Kooyong exhibition matches was an interesting choice for a guy who is usually grinding it out. I actually like it because the more comfortable he is on court with the tour players the quicker he will ground himself. Kwon has a very nice game and really doesn’t miss off the backhand wing that much. He tends to get behind the baseline a bit given his speed and this is a problem against Basilashvili, who hits the ball past people sitting in the crowd. Basilashvili has been known to tie himself to a ball with string and just hit the ball to his next event destination for free airfare. I do not think there is a harder hitter on tour right now. With a middling ATP Cup, he’ll have trouble here with Kwon. Kwon moves the ball around and is a fake-test. If Basilashvili makes errors, he’ll lose this match. That’s fairly straightforward. With the momentum though it’ll be difficult for Kwon to serve this one out as he hits his spots nicely at times but doesn’t exactly get to 40-0 often. Someone in 5 and if Basilashvili comes through easily he’ll be in good shape to best Verdasco in the next round. Verdasco Donskoy : Donskoy managed to get got in qualifying, and while normally Verdasco is a flight-risk from any match, he turned in a good effort in Doha and should be poised to win this one. Lucky loser entrants have a beautiful history of destroying higher ranked players, and Donskoy possesses a flat yet big offense, but I don’t think fresh Verdasco isn’t going to find a way to win 3/5 sets of tennis. Verdasco in 3-4. Ruud Gerasimov : Casper Ruud is always a threat to become great. His game seems complete, and when he wins it looks like he’s the next big thing. I think his ceiling is either 40-50, or several years in the future, as this match has me thinking Gerasimov is going to win. A big server with a heap of wins over the past year, the fast courts of Melbourne are going to be decent for his chances here. This is a good spot in the draw with Zverev waiting and his early history in majors present in a players mind, and it’s difficult to gauge how effective Ruud’s game will be on a given day. Being the frontrunner in tennis honestly seems to be a hump for all these guys, and so I think this one will be tight. If Ruud wins in 3 I’ll back him against Zverev. If Gerasimov wins, I think he’ll cover a handicap against Zverev. Zverev Cecchinato : Zverev has to be glad to get one of the tour’s most notable hardcourt strugglers in his first round. Cecchinato hits big but makes errors off of routine balls, and his frustrations are so well-known at this point that even TC announcers mention them. I don’t think he’ll be able to turn around his game against Zverev, and even though Zverev gives up at the slightest hint of adversity, he shouldn’t have much here. Zverev in 3-4. See you in South America, Marco. Berretini Harris : This is the other Harris. A nice enough player, this WC will be seen on tour more in the future, but in this one he’ll just be seen playing defense. Defense, which, thus far, only the big 3 have really proved effective at against Berretini’s forehand. I’m excited to see how his backhand improves over the course of this year, as if it does he’ll become a threat to win majors. Sandgren Trungelliti : This is a strange matchup with Sandgren really not making the best effort in some matches and losing, and also making a great effort in some matches and not being rewarded with the W against some lesser players. Trungelliti isn’t likely to give this one away, and I have to say that although Sandgren steps it up in majors, he is at risk here. He’s fat(for professional tennis). It’s hot. Trungelliti in 4. RCB Berankis : This is an interesting match no one will watch. I won’t watch it either. Maybe this match is not interesting. RCB and Berankis should be out there for hours, and although I’ve seen Ricardas look dominant from the baseline, RCB doesn’t really go away. Someone in 5. Querrey Coric : These two have had similar stories, with big successes being followed up by somewhat disappointing years. Querrey struggles to find the court in rallies and gets outworked when he’s not thumping aces, and Coric attempts to outwork his opponents but can’t stop hitting the tape long enough to do so. This is a rough first round for both of them as their opponent tests their weaknesses. Querrey is likely the player in better form right now, as he played moderate decent in Adelaide before getting dismissed by Rublev. If this is on an outer court Coric has a better chance as serving is generally more difficult and conditions are more windy. I’m already cringing thinking about Berankis somehow beating RCB and then Coric, but I’m not going to pick Coric here until he displays the form he did in 2017. Querrey in 4-5. Pella Smith : Pella just shouldn’t lose this match. Smith is another of a good crop of Aussie tennis players, but I don’t think he would have come through qualifying and I don’t think he’ll hit through Pella’s defenses. Pella is coming off good practice competing in the ATP cup, and should wrap this one up in 3. Safwat Barrere : Safwat won the last few rounds of qualifying as and underdog, and now gets rewarded by playing the king of 2019 qualifying. Barrere moves the ball around beautifully, and like other french players the score does not affect the shot selection which is great to see. His strength is holding serve, and it should be his edge in this matchup. Safwat scares me because he’s one of the players in the draw I actually haven’t watched a lot, but this is a matchup of a challenger threat vs a tour threat and I think Barrere will solidify his place on tour with a win here. Barrere in 4-5. Thompson Bublik : Thompson plays tennis like he really wants to be on tour. Bublik plays tennis like he really wants to embarrass the tour. This is another good matchup of conflicting styles as Thompson will take every single point you give away and Bublik will constantly make his opponent uncomfortable. Bublik’s T serve is brilliant and his game at net continues to improve. He’ll definitely frustrate Thompson who in the past has had trouble finding the pass against serve and volleyers, and although he hasn’t been that active recently, Bublik’s top gear is better than Thompson’s. It’s difficult to find that top gear for a full match to I expect this one to go back and forth a bit. Bublik in 5. Opelka Fognini : Fognini is likely to take this one well. Opelka is the perfect storm of physical ability and flailing. Fognini doesn’t want a single hair out of place and won’t swing at a ball unless it’s a testament to skill and beauty. Fognini has shown in 2019 that he is not done winning on tour, and although he is prone to mope at any moment, he has competed well. Opelka seems to show improvement in the rally but still coughs up the errors. I don’t think Fognini will find 3 full sets of breaks of serve here, and Opelka might by virtue of Fognini feeling the pressure and also Fognini feeling the anguish of possibly losing to a flailer. Opelka in 4-5 tiebreakers. Shapovalov Fucsovics : Marton can’t catch a break. A former junior standout, Fucsovics works harder on his fitness than most teenagers work on their snapchat streaks. His reward is often playing the best players on tour and competing hard in a loss. A year ago Fucsovics was not quite as good. A year ago though Shapov (name’s too long that’s all you get) would have been error prone enough to lose this match outright. I saw great things from him in his ATP Cup matches, and he looks a bit physically stronger this year which is a bonus because bless his heart he has puppy dog brains. Fucs (i’m running out of gas) is prone to getting slicehappy on his backhand, and that complacency works right into Shap’s (even more lazy) gameplan as he hits most of his forehands crosscourt and works best starting point from there. Sha in 4. Sinner Purcell : This one is interesting as Sinner will be looking to nab some tour names this year, but Purcell is not one of those names, yet is a quality player. The hopeful in me wants Purcell to compete here, but I don’t think Sinner is actually an overhyped talent. He hits very big, applies constant pressure, and although there are similarities to the Zverev that lost match point to Nadal, Sinner has no real serving issues. Sinner in 3-4. Mayer Paul : Tommy Paul had the best beginning to this season for unproven commodities, not only winning a few matches but also being predicted to do so by the books. He’s serving well, hitting with great pace, and is a pretty solid athlete which make him a threat when he keeps the ball on the court. Mayer is supposedly a clay specialist, but his hardcourt game is solid and he hits and serves big. I expect this to be a high level match but having seen some recent struggle from Mayer against guys playing a slight cut below Paul (Monteiro/Cecchinato), I actually expect Mayer to lose here. Paul in 4-5. Londero Dimitrov : Good. I always hope for Dimitrov to get it together and here is an opponent that will force him to. Dimitrov is the better player and has more talent, but Londero wants to win. He’ll push the pace and he has legitimate offense that will force Dimitrov to play defense and hopefully keep the ball on the court. Londero isn’t really best on hardcourt by a longshot but he has proven that he’s willing to improve and compete, and that’s big against an idiot parade like Dimitrov. Dimitrov in 4-5. Hurkacz Novak : This is pretty unfortunate for Novak who has been in great form this January. Hurkacz has been in finer form, and while Novak is a hardnose opponent unlikely to give up, Hurkacz has the bigger weapons and should be able to have an edge in this one. Still, given Novak’s form I doubt it will be straight sets. Hurkacz in 4. Milman Umbert : This is an interesting matchup given Humbert’s title run, and Milman’s relatively good form against Paire who played lights out tennis. Milman has one shot, and it’s his forehand crosscourt. Humbert’s backhand isn’t the pinnacle of consistency, and his backhand let him down against Ymer in the nextgen cup so it could happen again. Milman will make this match physical, and while Humbert is capable of playing crisp enough offense to take the raquet out of his opponents hands, it’s in his best interest to do so here, as Milman will have a tremendous amount of home support out on Court 3. A stadium crowd is one thing, but a smaller stage can get raucous and frustrating, and Humbert’s main risk is momentum. Still, I think he’s at a point where this will likely be a gutsy performance from Milman and an Humbert win. Humbert in 4-5. Halys Krajinovic : I’ve never watched Halys play tennis, and it’s important to note that in case anyone thinks I know what I’m talking about. I want to say that Kraj has this in the bag since he is a rocksolid tour player, but he’s tossed in some terrible performances. Probably Krajinovic in 3, or Halys in 5.
Lessons and Mistakes Learned in My 15-Month Adventure So Far
Like Buffett says: "You don't know who's swimming naked until the tide goes out." Meaning: In a rising market-- everyone looks like a genius and posts monster returns. It's only during a crash do we see what separates the professionals from the amateurs. And full disclosure-- for the past three weeks since Feb 21, I have been positively reamed from every which way in my positions (long AMD & MU). I'd started day-trading Jan 2019 (after being inspired by the show, Billions) and had been doing pretty until Feb 21 but the past three weeks have been totally humbling and has revealed to me that I am a total amateur. If I get out of this alive, I'll know now it was completely luck and that I'm totally not a genius. All that said, I thought I'd take this opportunity to share some hard-learned lessons I've learned these past 15 months. This stuff more applies to active traders (as opposed to investors, which is why I'm not posting this in /investing). Humble Advice from a Beginner re Active Trading
Get proficient on the Quantopian platform.To be clear: I am in no way associated with Quantopian. I just use one of their free accounts for data exploration, pricing info, and analysis. But it's really awesome; I regret not knowing it better before I started. Yes, you will need to know a little Python and Pandas (a programming language and a software library package) but it's incredibly basic and easy to use. Eons ago, I was once a history a major. If I can figure it out, so can you.
Go straight to the source. The next two economic indicators I'm most paying attention to are the US Labor Bureau Stats and ISM numbers on April 1 & 3. (More on that at the bottom.)
Finally: (And again, just my humble 2c.) Get a wife. (Or a husband/life-partner, etc). YMMV on this one, but personally, it's helped me tremendously. When you're parked in front of your computer the entire weekend crunching numbers and scouring news, you need someone to feed you. Also, someone to periodically bug you to leave the apartment to go out for walks for fresh air. Marriage is net good.
Things I did Wrong
Use the candlestick charts; not just the line charts.
Deleveraging spills over, even into safe asset classes, during historic plunges. Three weeks ago, I kept huge positions in memory and semiconductors thinking, "Oh-- if the market melts down from COVID-19, it'll only be travel, movie theaters, dining out, etc. that plunge." I had 100% erroneously thought that in a downturn, asset classes not directly affected would be shielded. I was totally wrong. What I know now, which I wish I knew three weeks ago, is that in a massive downturn, all asset classes will plunge. And here's one major reason why: Investors, big banks are usually highly leveraged. When the pandemic hit, they took huge hits on the "losers" (airlines, oil, etc). In order to smooth out the losses from the losers, folks are forced to sell winners as they dramatically deleverage positions to cover margin calls/retain capital position. Therefore, even "winning" stocks/classes will be affected in a downturn. Maybe, in the long term, data centers/semis/memory/etc, may come out ahead. But none of that matters in the hyper-short term (on the magnitude of weeks). I made this mistake in my mental model. Never again. (If there is a next time.)
Things I did Right
Use a Roth IRA as a "pace account." Put ETFs and some blue chips in here and then just leave it. Having a pace account allows you to easily compare how you're doing with your active trading against your passive strategies at any given point in time.
My Personal Future Outlook (aka, Guess)
Again, I'm not a professional so take this with a grain of salt. But here's where I think things are going: I agree with RBC: SP 2300 is the Maginot-Atlantic-Wall-Mason-Dixon-Rubicon. Either we hold this level (expecting a "garden variety recession") or an utter bloodbath ensues. My personal belief (well, more like hope and prayer) is that we hold the line with intraday bottoms going as low as SPY (~232) which is the bottom we hit on Dec 26, 2018. (For reference, we ended Friday at SPY 269 but did sink as low as 248). We'll find out next week; in particular, on Monday.
Last Wednesday, Trump gave the single most catastrophic Oval Office address I've ever seen. On Thursday morning, markets acted accordingly. Friday's Rose Garden address was better. I am now praying/hoping for sideways action until the ISM report on April 1 and Jobs report on April 3.Everything hinges on these two reports. (Btw, February 2020's job report was absolutely spectacular. In fact, BLS actually revised Dec 2019 and Jan 2020's numbers upwards.) Right now, I feel raw utter panic has gripped the country. People see barren aisles at Whole Foods and Trader Joe's. They see five-hour queues at Walmart and Target. People can't buy toilet paper and water…. etc. Schools are closing, NBA/NHL seasons are canceled. Movie releases are getting postponed. (God, even the mighty Vin Diesel, King of Coronas, couldn't hold out against the Corona virus…) Etc.
My bet (hope and prayer) is the BLS and ISM numbers on April 1 & 3 won't be as bad as people are expecting. If that's the case, the market will absolutely rocket into the stratosphere. (I made this prediction several weeks ago and I'm holding to it.) I am personally guessing that we're about to witness the shortest bear market in the history of bear markets and the fastest recovery man has ever seen. If there is contraction, I believe it'll be very short-lived. (Maybe one quarter at most.) We'll see. (I can elaborate more on my theory if anyone's curious. But since this post is getting really long; I'm just going to omit that theory here.)
My humble opinion is that this panic is 100% overblown and we're in an emotional nosedive right now. People think the sky is falling and there is no guidance of any kind right now to indicate how bad things will be. So everyone's bracing for the worst. I saw some guy on Seeking Alpha yesterday proclaiming Dow ~17,000… (No link for him as I think he's a complete nut. But I guess we'll see who's the fool… him or me…)
Futures open at 6p ET tonight. That'll be the first indication of what next week may look like.
3/02 Free Betting Predictions, Tips, Advice and Trends! MLB Spring Training Free Play Today!
Get in on the March Madness Marathon - $325 Gets The RedAlertWagers.com Pre-Filled March Madness Bracket + All MAC's Picks through March including all Red Alerts and Special Release Plays - all members get a official stress reliever squeeze ball that will save your fingers from all the college hoops nail biter games!
7:30 NCAAB Backroom Info Play - MD Eastern Shore +2 vs Howard -2
7:38 NHL Major Move Alert - Colorado Avalanche vs Detroit Red Wings
1 Month of all access $25.00
RED ALERT PLAYS - 25 UNITS
7:00 NC State +12.5 vs Duke -12.5
8:30 Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs Prairie View A&M Panthers
7:30 Memphis Grizzlies +2 vs Atlanta Hawks -2
(MAR 02) MAC GOT CRUSHED LAST NIGHT - A RARE NIGHT FOR THE MAC AS HE HAD SOME HEAVY LOSSES, NOT BEING PHASED IS THE NAME OF THE GAME TONIGHT!! 3 SPECIAL RELEASE PICKS + 3 RED ALERT PLAYS START @ 7:00! Red Alert Patreon Members now get The MAC'S personal wagers as a units per play system, betting the strongest information and games with odds that have very best optimal value/risk reward. The Mac will once again prove why they continuously acclaim him to be a National Treasure as he will cracking them open and cleaning them out with 3 Red Alerts Picks Tonight! NBA Red Alert - 7:30 Memphis Grizzlies +2 vs Atlanta Hawks -2 + 2 Big Game Red Alert CBB Picks and for Top Rated Patrons, MAC is moving heavy on special release action, 2 CBB bets and a NHL Major Move Alert on the Colorado Avalanche vs Detroit Red Wings total set at 5.5! Roland is anticipating a huge rebound day, and Red Alerts Picks are cash in the bank making interest! TheNBABETSSub-Reddit - (Free Play: Russell Westbrook will have more PTS than Giannis Antetokounmpo and Luka Doncic tonight +170) MAC GOT HIS LAST NIGHT - CBB HUSH MONEY ACTION NOW 37-15 FOR THE SEASON - MAC will be getting it done the way it's supposed to be done with 3 special release games on tap tonight! 1 NHL Major Move Alert - 7:38 Colorado Avalanche vs Detroit Red Wings & 2 Exclusive NCAAB Plays - HUSH MONEY ACTION - 9:00 Texas Tech +7.5 vs Baylor -7.5 + A Backroom Info Angle that will be another classic example of why they dub Roland MAC McGuillaman the most venerable betting source on the internet. The MAC has been picking off games all season and March Madness is his specialty, ripping down office pools and NCAAB March Madness Contests is just what the MAC does. 9:00 - NCAAB Hush Money Pick - Texas Tech +7.5 vs Baylor -7.5 Tonight's The Mac has a Big 12 Hush Money game play on the Red Raiders vs Baylor Bears! The Red raiders are 18 - 11 (3 - 6 Road) with a ATS record of 13 - 16 - 0(4 - 5 - 0 Road). The Baylor Bears are ranked second in the Big 12 standings and 4th over all while holding a ATS record of 18 - 10 - 0 (7 - 7 - 0 Home). Both teams are hunting for a championship and with Baylor having their last game against West Virginia this game could make a big difference for both teams. The Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Texas Tech Red Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog but are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The stock market is crashing and MAC's answering back with the very best college basketball sports investments available - MAC has the play at Patreon and on the Red Pass tonight - $25.00 Gets all MAC's Top Rated & Special Release Picks for 1 Month -$25.00 1 Month of all exclusive info CBB picks! Tonight our Top Rated Exclusive Play Members will be getting in onMAC'S NCAAB MAJOR MOVE PLAYon the 4:00 SOUTHERN MISS vs UTEP O/U 129 USA Conference show down plus all of tonight's Red Alert College Basketball & NBA Predictions. THE MAC HAS NBA GAME RED ALERT PLAY -7:30 Memphis Grizzlies +2 vs Atlanta Hawks -2 a Low Key NBA Game- A 5 UNIT play that holds the value we strive for when researching odds, trends and stats - MAC has been hitting the NBA Action hard and averaging around 63% this year for NBA bettors.
Hawks are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hawks are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Grizzlies are 6-13 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Atlanta.
Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
(MAR 02) Monday's Free Special Wager Picks Below!
THE MAC'S TOP RATED RELEASE COLLEGE BASKETBALL RED ALERT PLAYS ARE UNSTOPPABLE THIS YEAR! - NCAAB Backroom Info Play - MD Eastern Shore +2 vs Howard -2 - (A mismatch game + A telling line = CBB CASH $) + Free MLB Spring Training Winner Today! Red Alert Wagers SS LLC Exclusive Releases & Red Alert Free Plays exhibit why Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman's reputation as THE PAYMASTER is galvanized in the gambling underworld as a dangerous low key sharp! He doesn't know where you been, but The MACS been dicking down the sports betting game since the Star Dust was the place to get a high end hooker and a cocktail! Baseball is almost back and MAC has a lean on thePhiladelphia Phillies +110 vs Atlanta Braves -130 6:00 Spring Training game + 2 Basketball MAC ATTACK Picks and some look ahead Exclusive MMA Releases today! March Madness is getting closer and MAC has been the man to go to for brackets, bust open your office pools and take all you're dorky co-workers cash with professional top rated March Madness Picks and Vegas tournament grade CBB bracket. **PREMIUM PLAYS*\* CBB RED ALERT PLAY (MAR 02) - (7:30 Memphis Grizzlies +2 vs Atlanta Hawks -2) CBB RED ALERT PLAY (MAR 02) - (7:00 NC State +12.5 vs Duke -12.5) CBB RED ALERT PLAY (MAR 02) - (8:30 Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs Prairie View A&M Panthers) Special Release Plays NHL MAJOR MOVE (MAR 02) - (7:38 Colorado Avalanche vs Detroit Red Wings) NCAAB BACKROOM INFO (MAR 02) - (7:30 MD Eastern Shore +2 vs Howard -2) CBB HUSH MONEY PLAY (MAR 02) - (9:00 Texas Tech +7.5 vs Baylor -7.5)
THE MAC'S TOP RATED RELEASE COLLEGE BASKETBALL RED ALERT PLAYS ARE UNSTOPPABLE THIS YEAR! - Tonight's NCAAB Hush Money Play - NO. Colorado -6 vs Montana State +6 - (Another quiet game + A telling line = CBB CASH $) + MAC's Free MLB Spring Training Picks Today!
(FEB 21) TONIGHT'S NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY - 7:00 MONMOUTH -3.5 vs MARIST +3.5 + Free PICKS!!
(FEB 21) Friday's Free Special Wager Picks Below! Red Alert Wagers LLC Red Alert Patreon Members now get The MAC'S personal wagers as a units per play system, betting the strongest information and games with odds that have very best optimal value/risk reward. The Mac will once again prove why they continuously acclaim him to be a National Treasure Tonight! Premium Play & Top Rated Release earnings are up substantially, College Hoops Plays are more than impressive this year, and tonight's CBB Action is set to go our direction. The MAC has a full card today and he is getting the all the geetus with conviction, he did his homework and is keeping open lines of discourse between his consensus groups and other affiliated player syndicates across the country. There's a reason THE MAC has been dubbed THE PAYMASTER by bookmakers this college basketball season, picking games against the spread & sending a signal through the noise! TONIGHT OUR NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAY (FEB 19) - (MONMOUTH -3.5 vs MARIST +3.5) goes off at 7:00 EST - The 14-11 Hawks are 3.5 point favorites against thr 6-17 Marist Red Foxes, our North East associates have graded this game and the Red Alert Consensus is in. The Red Foxes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The Monmouth Hawks are looking to at the least finish in Top 5 in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference as the regular season approaches the home stretch, tonight's game matters for Monmouth and they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Friday games! The public has their money on the Hawks and the Red Foxes are taking only 37% of action! Tonight our Top Rated Exclusive Play Members will be getting in onMAC'S NCAAB HUSH MONEY PLAYon the Monmouth vs Marist MAAC conference game plus all of tonight's Red Alert College Basketball Predictions. Join the Patreon to get on the MAC'S Special Release Action -$25.00 1 Month of all exclusive info CBB picks! College Basketball Season is how we make money, with dozens of games going off it's not easy for the average bettor to find a decent game to bet on, that's what RedAlertWagers.com is here for, we hit the angles and have the resources. Our Sports Consensus Groups are now focused on March Madness and we will be picking off NBA & NHL special release plays as we go! RedAlertWagers.com Sports Betting Predictions are going the distance and there is no finish line!The MAC is cocked, locked, & loaded as he has received what people call the industry standard of advice from national sports syndicates and consensus groups across the country MAC's RED ALERT CBB Picks are only available on Patreon.com and are included in the 1 Day Red Pass! Bryant +1 vs St. Francis (NY) -1A low key game with a small audience, MAC is anticipating this game to be over before the 2nd half. Bryant Bulldogs are facing a St. Francis!PLAY: 6 UNITS UW Milwaukee +3.5 vs Oakland -3.5PLAY: 2 UNITSSt. Peter's +1.5 at Manhattan -1.5PLAY: 2 UNITSTHE MAC'S TOP RATED RELEASE COLLEGE BASKETBALL RED ALERT PLAYS ARE UNSTOPPABLE THIS YEAR! - TONIGHT'S RED ALERT - Bryant +1 vs St. Francis (NY) -1 (A low key game + a small audience = CASH $) Red Alert Wagers SS LLC Special Releases & Red Alert Plays exhibit why Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman's reputation as THE PAYMASTER is galvanized in the gambling underworld as a dangerous low key sharp! He doesn't know where you been, but The MACS been dicking down the sports betting game since the Star Dust was the place to get a high end hooker and a cocktail! RedAlertWagers.com has revamped the Patreon - NEW Membership Tiers - $25 1 Month of MAC'S exclusive information personal wagers, what games to move heavy on and what games to move minor on, play and watch how a professional sports betting expert spreads his units, either you're betting with us or just haven't heard The Roland Roar'n Mac McGuillaman ROAR - Join Now - $25.00 Top Rated + Special Release Action
DAILY MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS
NHL MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 21) -(CALGARY FLAMES +125) NCAAB MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 21) -(FAIRFIELD -3.5)-$300 Bonus at XBet.com NBA MAC ATTACK PLAY (FEB 21) -(BOSTON CELTICS -7.5) FUN PLAY 2 TEAM MIX GAME PARLAY (FEB 21) -(NCAAB - FAIRFIELD -3.5 X NBA - UTAH JAZZ -7) **EARLY INFO FREE RELEASES*\* EXCLUSIVE EASY MONEY BOXING PICK (FEB 22) -(TYSON FURY -105)EXCLUSIVE MMA EASY MONEY - UFC ON ESPN+26 (FEB 22) - (PAUL FELDER +115) March Madness Squares/Contest Use Promo Code "THEMAC" @MyBookieand get a 50% Deposit Bonus, Free $20 Bets, Free Contest Entries, & More - Promo Code - THEMAC
FEB 23 - Free CBB Predictions and NBA Trends, Betting Info, & Red Alert Picks!
FEB 23 - Free Predictions and NBA Trends and Betting Info
MyBookie.ag has Roland's favorite type of scratch ticket - Basketball Squares MyBookie.ag has Roland's favorite type of scratch ticket -Basketball Squares TONIGHT OUR NCAAB MAJOR MOVE PLAY (FEB 23) - Stanford -3.5 vs Washington State +3.5 goes off at 8:00 EST - The Cougars are 14 - 13 (11 - 4 Home) are hosting the Cardinals who have been killing the spread at 16 - 10 - 0 (4 - 3 - 0 Road) up until their last 7 games 3 - 7 (4 - 6 - 0 ATS). The Cardinals are the favorite on the road with the line opening at -3 and the public money coming in. The Cougars have not been that great ATS 11 - 15 - 1 (8 - 7 - 0 Home) and as a home dog are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. MAC has the play at Patreon and on the Red Pass tonight - $25.00 Gets all MAC's Top Rated & Special Release Picks for 1 Month -$25.00 1 Month of all exclusive info CBB picks! Roland's been playing and fading these teams for years, knowing when to lay or take points with teams like the Seawolves, Gaels, River Hawks, & Governors has aggrandized THE MAC's reputation for his college hoops Hush Money Plays. This will be another game out of the public eye that will produce the quiet profits we expect. We pride our action by bringing the results that keep the people recommending THE MAC'S ATS COLLEGE BASKETBALL PICKS, making him one of the most venerable sources for expert college basketball predictions against the spread, and lionizing RedAlertWagers.com in and around sportsbooks and casinos! Tonight our Top Rated Exclusive Play Members will be getting in onMAC'S NCAAB MAJOR MOVE PLAYon the Stanford -3.5 vs Washington State +3.5 PAC 12 conference show down plus all of tonight's Red Alert College Basketball Predictions. THE MAC HAS HIS RED ALERT PLAY - 6:00 - USC PK vs Utah PK -A Big 10 UNIT play that holds the value we strive for when researching odds, trends and stats! College Basketball Season is how we make money, with dozens of games going off it's not easy for the average bettor to find a decent game to bet on, that's what RedAlertWagers.com is here for, we hit the angles and have the resources. Our Sports Consensus Groups are now focused on March Madness and we will be picking off NBA & NHL special release plays as we go! RedAlertWagers.com sports betting predictions are going the distance and there is no finish line!! The MAC is cocked, locked, & loaded as he has received what people call the industry standard of advice from national sports syndicates and consensus groups across the country MAC's RED ALERT CBB & NBA Picks are only available on Patreon.com and are included in the 1 Day Red Pass! 6:00 - USC PK vs Utah PK - $300 Bonus at XBet -HERE A even money game with too many trends, MAC has been calling these out of mind plays like a sports gambling mentalist. PLAY: 10 UNITS 8:35 EST New Orleans Pelicans -9.5 vs Golden State Warriors +9.5 PLAY: 5 UNITS The MAC is attacking today's hoops games with a fury, as he rolls from sportsbook to sportsbook hunting down the very best odds, info, and payouts!Patreon Playsare up and we are moving units and building a March Madness war chest! As we start moving into March with some great teams making noise this season, the tournaments start opening up, pick'ems, bracket challenges, basketball pools, all the sponsors start looking for professional players to feature at their events and Vegas turns into a sharps dream, MAC will be ripping down every tournament that will grant his entry. (FEB 23) Sunday's Free Special Wager Picks Below! THE MAC'S TOP RATED RELEASE COLLEGE BASKETBALL RED ALERT PLAYS GO 2-1 YESTERDAY AND ARE UNSTOPPABLE THIS YEAR! - TONIGHT'S NBA RED ALERT - New Orleans Pelicans -9.5 vs Golden State Warriors +9.5 (A low wagered game + A inflated line = CASH $) **PREMIUM PLAYS*\* NCAAB RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 23) - (USC PK vs Utah PK) NBA RED ALERT PLAY (FEB 23) - (New Orleans Pelicans -9.5 vs Golden State Warriors +9.5) CBB MAJOR MOVE ALERT (FEB 23) - (Stanford -3.5 vs Washington State +3.5)
Red Alert Wagers SS LLC Special Releases & Red Alert Plays exhibit why Roland "The Roarin MAC" McGuillaman's reputation as THE PAYMASTER is galvanized in the gambling underworld as a dangerous low key sharp! He doesn't know where you been, but The MACS been dicking down the sports betting game since the Star Dust was the place to get a high end hooker and a cocktail! RedAlertWagers.com has revamped the Patreon! - NEW Membership Tiers - $25 1 Month of MAC'S exclusive information personal wagers, what games to move heavy on and what games to move minor on, play and watch how a professional sports betting expert spreads his units, either you're betting with us or just haven't heard The Roland Roarin Mac McGuillaman ROAR - Join Now - $25.00 Top Rated + Special Release Action
DAILY MAC ATTACK FREE PICKS
NCAAB MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 23) - (Maryland +3)
XFL MAC ATTACK PICK (FEB 23) - (Los Angeles Wildcats +9)
NBA MAC ATTACK PLAY (FEB 23) - (Denver Nuggets -13)
**FREE DAILY FUN PLAY TEASER & PARLAY PICKS*\* FUN PLAY 2 TEAM MIX GAME PARLAY (FEB 23) - (NBA -Denver Nuggets -13X NHL - Edmonton Oilers -140) **EARLY INFO FREE RELEASES*\* EXCLUSIVE EASY MONEY BOXING PICK (FEB 22) - (TYSON FURY -105)WINNER EXCLUSIVE MMA EASY MONEY - UFC ON ESPN+27 (FEB 29) - (NORMA DUMONT +195) EXCLUSIVE MMA EASY MONEY - UFC ON ESPN+26 (FEB 29) - (TOM BREESE -120) 6:05 Minnesota Timberwolves +13 vs Denver Nuggets -13 - Total: 221 Free MAC ATTACK Pick with Trends -
Timberwolves are 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 games overall.
Timberwolves are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Timberwolves are 19-41 ATS in their last 60 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
Timberwolves are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Timberwolves are 16-42-2 ATS in their last 60 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Timberwolves are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Timberwolves are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 1 days rest.
Timberwolves are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS loss.
Timberwolves are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Timberwolves are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up loss.
Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Timberwolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Nuggets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Nuggets are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Nuggets are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Denver.
Timberwolves are 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings in Denver.
CBSSports.com's NBA expert picks provides daily picks against the spread and over/under for each game during the season from our resident picks guru. Countless free betting tips and predictions with detailed previews and analysis on top sporting events, provided by the bettingexpert community. Join Now The official site of the National Basketball Association. Your home for scores, schedules, stats, news, NBA League Pass, NBA TV, video highlights, fantasy, rankings and more for NBA players and teams. With the ambition to help you with your free sports betting predictions, be it on Euro 2020 betting tips or more in general on football, tennis, rugby or basketball, our professional experts and tipsters analyse every day dozens of competitions, bets, players and teams for you to optimize your chances of winning bets. Our course of action is ... Welcome to UltimateCapper’s Free NBA Betting Picks section.We will have previews and analysis of select games all year long. Keep checking back here for all your Free NBA Winners.We will update this page everyday throughout the NBA season with free picks from UltimateCapper.. Regular Season: 85-74-2 +490 Playoffs: 44-37-2 +330 BOBBY BABOWSKI’S FREE NBA PICKS
NBA Games Best Betting Picks & Predictions (August 5th ...
Check out our daily NBA games picks and predictions at: https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/ This is the Jammin with Jay Money show and with the help ... If your NBA betting picks have you down today get a free pro basketball prediction tonight between the San Antonio Spurs vs Philadelphia 76ers 8-3-20 Also, checkout our premium packages for long ... If your NBA betting picks have you down today get a free pro basketball playoff prediction tonight between the Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets 9-1-20 Also, check... 🏀 NBA Tip-Off for Friday, December 20, 2019, Joe Raineri, Tony Finn and Hakeem Profit breakdown the basketball card for Friday night from a sports betting perspective and share some of their ... Free Pro Basketball Betting Picks - NBA and WNBA Play all Share. Loading... Save. Sign in to YouTube. Sign in. Spurs at Bulls - Monday 1/2720 - Free NBA Betting Picks & Predictions - Bookie ...